- SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 continues to remain a major concern.
- Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) are currently the main method of control.
- Hopefully soon vaccines will be available and help to reduce the future impact of COVID.
- Simulation modeling can be a useful tool to make forecasts and evaluate the impact of different interventions.
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Introduction
Simulation modeling areas
Source: NOAA
- Weather forecasting.
- Simulations of man-made, engineered system.
- Predicting the economy.
- Infectious disease transmission.
Simulation modeling overview
- Build a model that simulates the process of disease transmission.
- Include any details that are relevant for the question, omit everything else.
Simulation modeling uses - Understanding
Baker et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abc2535