Statistical analysis and modeling of vaccines
Slides: https://www.andreashandel.com/presentations/
2025-10-13
Current approaches to dose choice
- A few doses are explored in phase I/II trials, one is chosen for phase III and licensure.
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Example of BioNTech/Pfizer COVID Vaccine
Claim: Knowing in more detail how dose impacts host response following vaccination might help optimize vaccines.
Statistical analysis of the role of dose for norovirus antibody responses
Motivation
- Most vaccines aim to induce strong antibody responses.
- For a future norovirus vaccine, it is important to understand how dose impacts antibody responses.
- It is also informative to understand if there are differences in antibody kinetics following infection vs. vaccination.
Study design
Models
Exponential decay model: \[
y_1(t) = \frac{p_1}{1+e^{(-g_1*(t-k_1))}}e^{-d_1*t}
\]
Power-law decay model: \[
y_2(t) = \frac{p_2}{1+e^{(-g_2*((t+1)-k_2))}}(t+1)^{-d_2}
\]
Vaccination antibody time-series
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